Goal 2

International Immigration - Deep Dive

With the cooperation of the federal government, Nova Scotia will be receiving annually its proportionate share of all new international immigrants to Canada.

Updated:

International Immigration

International immigration to Nova Scotia has been elevated over the past three years, with a particularly large spike in the most recent year due to the influx of Syrian refugees in early-2016. The first quarter of 2016 saw the province’s largest single-quarter immigration influx with over 1,800 immigrants. The second quarter of 2016 saw the second, largest influx since 1946 with over 1,500 immigrants.

As with inter-provincial migration, international immigration to Nova Scotia has also been affected to some extent by macroeconomic trends. During economic growth periods, such as the mid-2000s, immigration to Nova Scotia tends to be lower, as there is a greater pull toward booming parts of the country like Alberta. During periods of economic slowing or recession, Nova Scotia’s immigration has been stronger, peaking during the financial crisis in the late-2000s, then declining through the recovery period and rising again in recent years as the slumping oil market slowed growth in Alberta.

yearca populationns populationpopulation percentca immigrationns immigrationimmigration percent
1971219620327972943.63%11703617091.46%
1972222184638022553.61%13852619231.39%
1973224917778123863.61%21745630641.41%
1974228079698187513.59%20928323421.12%
1975231432758265493.57%17002820041.18%
1976234498088351663.56%13093118541.42%
1977237258438400283.54%10096712191.21%
1978239632038446283.52%845189671.14%
1979242015448493963.51%14382518851.31%
1980245156678526593.48%12723812711.00%
1981248199158548713.44%13533914701.09%
1982251169428590383.42%1014049370.92%
1983253664518682893.42%885929391.06%
1984256070538774713.43%8392510491.25%
1985258421168858483.43%886579741.10%
1986261002788890873.41%13088011700.89%
1987264466018936063.38%15221112120.80%
1988267917478972163.35%17763214520.82%
1989272767819038413.31%20335714540.71%
1990276911389104513.29%22138215420.70%
1991280374209149693.26%24428119270.79%
1992283712649194513.24%26689025990.97%
1993286847649239253.22%23536030841.31%
1994290006639268713.20%22073837261.69%
1995293023119281203.17%21747833971.56%
1996296102189313273.15%22485731111.38%
1997299059489324023.12%19445925901.33%
1998301551739318363.09%17319416240.94%
1999304012869337843.07%20571016740.81%
2000306857309338213.04%25252717470.69%
2001310205969324913.01%25640516090.63%
2002313584189351552.98%19917012570.63%
2003316416309376762.96%23908317070.71%
2004319380049396122.94%24457817080.70%
2005322423649378992.91%25437421970.86%
2006325705059378692.88%23812527151.14%
2007328879289350712.84%24962226681.07%
2008332457739358652.81%24528924461.00%
2009336285719381942.79%27058124130.89%
2010340052749420732.77%25910622870.88%
2011343427809444692.75%26011523550.91%
2012347505459449432.72%26315622430.85%
2013351554519435382.68%26790627791.04%
2014355445649432942.65%24084426851.11%
2015358486109433732.63%32093253901.68%

Additionally, immigration to Nova Scotia is driven by Federally-set caps on the number of immigrants coming into a province through each of the various immigration streams. Even with interest from Nova Scotians in accepting new immigrants and interest from potential immigrants in migrating to the province, ultimately increasing Nova Scotia’s immigration requires increases to the relevant caps.

Increases have been made to caps in some programs in recent years. For example, it was announced in March of 2016 that the annual cap on Nova Scotia immigrants through the provincial nominee program would be increased by 300, bringing the cap for that program for the year up to 1,350.

Changes to the indicator, baseline, or target:

  • There were no changes made to the indicator, baseline, or target.
  • Contextual numbers were removed from the goal statement. It was assumed that the goal was to close the gap between Nova Scotia’s share of Canadian immigrants and population, not to reach the 7,000 immigrants per year provided for context in the Report of the Nova Scotia Commission on Building our New Economy. This was done to keep the goal consistent in case of future historical revisions to the source data.